CNBC game theory model predicts ‘the Quad’ to strengthen against China

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President Joe Biden recently met with leaders from Australia, India and Japan. | whitehouse.gov

Business news channel CNBC launched an advanced game theory model predicting the increased strength of Australia, India, Japan and the United States, known as the “Quad,” in light of the Quad Leaders’ Summit held Sept. 24 at the White House.

Prime Ministers Scott Morrison of Australia, Narendra Modi of India, and Yoshihide Suga of Japan met for the “first-ever in-person leaders’ Summit of the Quad,” the White House said. Among initiatives the leaders put forth included “ending the COVID-19 pandemic” and “partnering on emerging technologies, space, and cybersecurity.”

But CNBC, in an online report, said that “worries about China are at the root of the Quad,” and China, for its part, believes the Quad is “an attempt to derail its rise as a global power,” and believes that “the Quad will fail.”

“China is increasingly hemming itself in. Whatever objectives it might harbor for the Indo-Pacific, it’s getting in its own way,” Ali Wyne, senior analyst for Global Macro at Eurasia Group, told CNBC.

In light of the controversy CNBC ran the question “What is the future of the Quad?” through an advanced game theory model (using computing power) that made predictions.

“Experts who spoke to CNBC about the results agreed across the board with the first conclusion, that the Quad will strengthen as a group,” the report said.