The International Monetary Fund has issued the following press release:
Washington, DC: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved today a three-year arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility equivalent to SDR197.4 million (about US$275.8 million or 150 percent of quota) for Niger.
The Board’s decision allows an immediate disbursement of SDR 39.48 million (about US$55.2 million or 30 percent of quota). The arrangement is expected to catalyze additional bilateral and multilateral financial support.
Following the Executive Board discussion, Ms. Antoinette Sayeh, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair, made the following statement:
``The Nigerien economy is expected to rebound in 2021 with economic activity gaining momentum in the medium term, with the start of oil exports through a new pipeline to the Benin coast. This broadly favorable outlook is, however, subject to significant downside risks related to heightened security challenges in the Sahel region and Niger’s increased exposure to the effects of climate change.
``The ECF arrangement supports the authorities’ reform agenda aimed at strengthening the macroeconomic framework while creating fiscal space for basic infrastructure and social spending to foster inclusive and resilient growth.
To ensure medium-term debt sustainability and create space for social and developmental spending, the program will support reforms to improve domestic revenue mobilization (by broadening the tax base, reducing exemptions, and revising the tax code), bolster the quality of public spending (including by scaling up effective social programs and improving public investment management), and ensure transparent and efficient management of oil revenues. The program will also support efforts to meet the regional fiscal deficit convergence criterion and strengthen debt management.
``Promoting the development of a diversified private sector and implementing reforms to strengthen governance and anti-corruption frameworks will be pivotal to mitigate fiscal risks and strengthen the business environment. In this context, implementing transparency commitments related to pandemic emergency spending—including reporting and publication of beneficial ownership information of companies awarded pandemic-related contracts—is essential. The authorities also plan to extend the requirement to collect and publish beneficial ownership information to non-competitive procurement contracts and accelerate the implementation of the new asset declaration regime.
``Firm commitment to reforms and their steadfast implementation will be key to success and to catalyzing additional donor support.’’
Table 1: Niger: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators, 2018-22
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
(Annual percentage change)
National income and prices
GDP at constant prices
7.2
5.9
3.6
5.4
6.5
Export volume
-6.9
-2.2
-1.1
-7.8
8.4
Import volume
8.7
9.7
1.8
3.9
13.7
CPI (annual average)
2.8
-2.5
2.9
2.9
2.5
CPI (end-of-period)
1.6
-2.3
3.1
3.0
2.5
Money and credit
Broad money
-2.1
15.0
17.0
11.6
14.9
Domestic credit
11.4
-12.2
25.2
12.3
17.9
Credit to the government (net)
127.8
-89.5
575.8
45.3
47.1
Credit to the economy
-4.5
13.0
8.6
6.1
10.4
(Percent of GDP)
Government finances
Total revenue
12.1
11.2
10.8
10.9
11.5
Total expenditure and net lending
21.1
21.6
22.9
24.0
22.7
Current expenditure
9.9
9.6
10.3
10.9
10.4
Capital expenditure
11.2
12.0
12.1
12.6
11.7
Basic balance (excl. grants)
-2.9
-3.5
-5.1
-5.7
-4.3
Overall balance (incl. grants)
-3.0
-3.6
-5.3
-6.6
-5.4
Gross investment
28.5
30.0
31.1
31.8
33.7
Non-government investment
18.4
19.3
20.5
20.8
23.5
Government investment
10.1
10.6
10.5
11.0
10.2
External current account balance (incl. grants)
-12.7
-12.6
-13.5
-15.3
-16.3
External current account balance (excl. grants)
-14.6
-15.3
-15.6
-17.2
-18.0
Total public and publicly-guaranteed debt
36.9
39.8
45.0
48.8
49.8
Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt
25.3
26.5
31.6
32.8
32.2
NPV of external debt
23.1
24.5
24.2
23.4
23.0
Public domestic debt
11.6
13.3
13.4
16.0
17.6
(Billions of CFA francs)
GDP at current market prices
7,134
7,565
7,909
8,559
9,301
Sources: Nigerien authorities; and IMF staff estimates and projections.